8 Jul · 17:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LV
🇺🇦Lukas Veigl
ELO 1520
FormLLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kocvara
MK
🇺🇦Martin Kocvara
ELO 1556
FormWLLLL
46%
54%
🌟Veigl covers set handicap as underdog 75% (12)
Fair odds · Kocvara
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
17%
Elo Gap+36
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.