8 Jul · 17:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇺🇦Mykola Pohorilyi
ELO 1524
FormLWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Torianyk
OT
🇺🇦Oleh Torianyk
ELO 1605
FormWLWLL
41%
59%
🌟Pohorilyi rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (18)
Fair odds · Torianyk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H27-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-20)