8 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Miklukha
ELO 1413
FormLWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Miklukha
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1379
FormLWLLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Miklukha
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H5-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.