8 Jul · 16:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Miklukha
ELO 1413
FormLWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Stopin
OS
🇺🇦Oleh Stopin
ELO 1462
FormLLWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Stopin
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H6-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-5)