8 Jul · 16:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KH
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Hrynenko
ELO 1440
FormWWLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Abalmaz
SA
🇺🇦Spartak Abalmaz
ELO 1607
FormWWWWL
33%
67%
🌟Hrynenko covers set handicap as underdog 63% (60)
Fair odds · Abalmaz
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+167
H2H32-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+167)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-29)