8 Jul · 14:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
IP
🇺🇦Ivan Pytsko
ELO 1647
FormWWWLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Pytsko
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fashchevskyi
ELO 1535
FormLLLWW
62%
38%
🌟Fashchevskyi goes over total as underdog 78% (23)
Fair odds · Pytsko
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)