8 Jul · 18:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KH
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Hrynenko
ELO 1440
FormWWLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Derevynskyi
DD
🇺🇦Dmytro Derevynskyi
ELO 1544
FormLWLWL
39%
61%
🌟Hrynenko covers set handicap as underdog 63% (60)
Fair odds · Derevynskyi
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H77-43
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (77-43)