8 Jul · 17:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇺🇦Maksym Mrykh
ELO 1529
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Maksuta
VM
🇺🇦Volodymir Maksuta
ELO 1604
FormLWLWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Maksuta
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H8-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-0)