8 Jul · 11:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VM
🇺🇦Vladyslav Mishchenko
ELO 1488
FormWLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Yurkov
AY
🇺🇦Artem Yurkov
ELO 1636
FormLLLLW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Yurkov
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+148
H2H44-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+148)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-26)