8 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1515
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Pisa
PF
🇺🇦Pavel Fencl
ELO 1509
FormWLLWL
51%
49%
🌟Pisa rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (16)
Fair odds · Pisa
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.