8 Jul · 15:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Vitalii Sydorenko
ELO 1443
FormWLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Chashchin
FC
🇺🇦Fedir Chashchin
ELO 1505
FormWLWLW
43%
57%
🌟Sydorenko covers set handicap as underdog 69% (26)
Fair odds · Chashchin
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H8-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-4)