8 Jul · 14:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MP
🇺🇦Mykhailo Potapov
ELO 1536
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hrybeniuk
VH
🇺🇦Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
ELO 1558
FormWWLWW
48%
52%
🌟Hrybeniuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (23)
Fair odds · Hrybeniuk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H10-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.