8 Jul · 12:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
YL
🇺🇦Yurii Leymanovsky
ELO 1588
FormWWLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Leymanovsky
VM
🇺🇦Vladyslav Mishchenko
ELO 1488
FormWLLLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Leymanovsky
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)