8 Jul · 17:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
EH
🇺🇦Evhenii Hrytsenko
ELO 1487
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Varlamov
OV
🇺🇦Oleg Varlamov
ELO 1516
FormLWWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Varlamov
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H22-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.