8 Jul · 14:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BC
🇺🇦Bohdan Chaikovskyi
ELO 1604
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Chaikovskyi
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Sukovatyi
ELO 1588
FormWLWLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sukovatyi🌟Chaikovskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (24)
Fair odds · Chaikovskyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H18-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.