8 Jul · 18:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ON
🇺🇦Oleksandr Naida
ELO 1466
FormLLWLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Abalmaz
SA
🇺🇦Spartak Abalmaz
ELO 1607
FormWWWWL
35%
65%
🌟Naida stays under total as underdog 67% (27)
Fair odds · Abalmaz
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~72 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+141
H2H48-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (48-32)