8 Jul · 14:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VM
🇺🇦Volodymir Maksuta
ELO 1604
FormLWLWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Maksuta
DH
🇺🇦Daniil Habrelyan
ELO 1425
FormWWLLW
68%
32%
Fair odds · Maksuta
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+179
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+179)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)