8 Jul · 13:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FS
🇺🇦Frantisek Schmidtmayer
ELO 1520
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Schmidtmayer
MV
🇺🇦Miroslav Vana
ELO 1477
FormLLWLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Schmidtmayer
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)