8 Jul · 16:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OT
🇺🇦Oleh Torianyk
ELO 1605
FormWLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Torianyk
IS
🇺🇦Ivan Sushko
ELO 1559
FormWLWWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Torianyk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H10-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-2)