8 Jul · 14:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LP
🇺🇦Lukas Provaznik
ELO 1561
FormLLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Vyskocil
MV
🇺🇦Marek Vyskocil
ELO 1636
FormLWLWW
42%
58%
🌟Provaznik covers set handicap as underdog 83% (12)
Fair odds · Vyskocil
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H9-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-3)