8 Jul · 19:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Miklukha
ELO 1413
FormLWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mykhalchenko
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Mykhalchenko
ELO 1456
FormWLWLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Mykhalchenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~72 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)