8 Jul · 15:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1456
FormWWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Mukhin
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1379
FormLWLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Mukhin
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)