8 Jul · 15:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Ondrej Mezera
ELO 1581
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Mezera
MK
🇺🇦Martin Kocvara
ELO 1556
FormWLLLL
53%
47%
🌟Kocvara covers set handicap as underdog 65% (20)
Fair odds · Mezera
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.