8 Jul · 19:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maksymiv
ELO 1626
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Maksymiv
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Romanenko
ELO 1612
FormLWWLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Romanenko🌟Romanenko covers set handicap as underdog 79% (19)
Fair odds · Maksymiv
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H12-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.