8 Jul · 17:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RS
🇺🇦Ruslan Serhyenko
ELO 1410
FormLWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Bielokon
YB
🇺🇦Yevhen Bielokon
ELO 1493
FormLLLWL
41%
59%
🌟Bielokon rarely covers set handicap as favourite 11% (19)
Fair odds · Bielokon
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H47-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-27)