8 Jul · 11:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FS
🇺🇦Frantisek Schmidtmayer
ELO 1520
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Schmidtmayer
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1472
FormLWWLL
55%
45%
🌟Plyska covers set handicap as underdog 77% (26)
Fair odds · Schmidtmayer
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H6-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-0)