8 Jul · 17:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RK
🇺🇦Roman Konkulovskyi
ELO 1525
FormWLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pohonov
OP
🇺🇦Oleksandr Pohonov
ELO 1606
FormWWWLL
42%
58%
🌟Konkulovskyi stays under total as underdog 70% (44)
Fair odds · Pohonov
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H29-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-17)