8 Jul · 15:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Prus
ELO 1546
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hrybeniuk
VH
🇺🇦Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
ELO 1558
FormWWLWW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Prus🌟Prus covers set handicap as underdog 92% (12)
Fair odds · Hrybeniuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H4-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.