8 Jul · 14:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Vladyslav Mishchenko
ELO 1488
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hrabskyi
AH
🇺🇦Andrii Hrabskyi
ELO 1536
FormLLLWL
45%
55%
🌟Hrabskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 19% (31)
Fair odds · Hrabskyi
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H14-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-12)