8 Jul · 15:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MM
🇺🇦Maksym Mrykh
ELO 1529
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Mrykh
OV
🇺🇦Oleg Varlamov
ELO 1516
FormLWWWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Varlamov🌟Mrykh rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (12)
Fair odds · Mrykh
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H7-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.