8 Jul · 14:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii S Marushchak
ELO 1583
FormWWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Yurkov
AY
🇺🇦Artem Yurkov
ELO 1636
FormLLLLW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Marushchak🌟Marushchak covers set handicap as underdog 63% (30)
Fair odds · Yurkov
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H69-44
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (69-44)