8 Jul · 09:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii S Marushchak
ELO 1583
FormWWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Marushchak
AH
🇺🇦Andrii Hrabskyi
ELO 1536
FormLLLWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hrabskyi🌟Marushchak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (16)
Fair odds · Marushchak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H17-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)