8 Jul · 13:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JB
🇺🇦Jan Blazek
ELO 1391
FormWLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Plyska
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1472
FormLWWLL
41%
59%
🌟Blazek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Plyska
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H10-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-5)