8 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1456
FormWWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mukhin
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Mykhalchenko
ELO 1456
FormWLWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Mukhin
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~72 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+0
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.