8 Jul · 12:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MV
🇺🇦Miroslav Vana
ELO 1477
FormLLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vana
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1472
FormLWWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Plyska🌟Plyska covers set handicap as underdog 77% (26)
Fair odds · Vana
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H12-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.