8 Jul · 17:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleh Stopin
ELO 1462
FormLLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Stopin
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1379
FormLWLLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Stopin
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)