8 Jul · 17:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MP
🇺🇦Mykhailo Potapov
ELO 1536
FormLLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Storozhenko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Storozhenko
ELO 1576
FormLWWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Storozhenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H9-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.