8 Jul · 15:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IT
🇺🇦Ihor Torhachov
ELO 1487
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Torhachov
AF
🇺🇦Andrii Fastov
ELO 1480
FormLWLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Torhachov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 71% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H5-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.