8 Jul · 16:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VA
🇺🇦Vitalii Ananiev
ELO 1320
FormLLWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Priadko
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Priadko
ELO 1409
FormLLLWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Priadko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H32-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-7)