8 Jul · 17:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IT
🇺🇦Ihor Torhachov
ELO 1487
FormWLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Torhachov
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Priadko
ELO 1409
FormLLLWW
58%
42%
🌟Priadko covers set handicap as underdog 65% (23)
Fair odds · Torhachov
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H68-46
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (68-46)