8 Jul · 16:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PP
🇺🇦Petr Provaznik
ELO 1529
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Provaznik
OH
🇺🇦Ondrej Horak
ELO 1514
FormWLLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Provaznik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.