8 Jul · 15:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
BC
🇺🇦Bohdan Chaikovskyi
ELO 1604
FormWLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Pohonov
OP
🇺🇦Oleksandr Pohonov
ELO 1606
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
🌟Pohonov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (44)
Fair odds · Pohonov
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H21-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.