8 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PH
🇺🇦Pavel Hala
ELO 1521
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hala
OH
🇺🇦Ondrej Horak
ELO 1514
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Hala
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H13-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.