8 Jul · 23:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AY
🇺🇦Anton Yakovenko
ELO 1416
FormLLLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Chuliukov
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chuliukov
ELO 1519
FormLWLLW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Chuliukov
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H18-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-16)