8 Jul · 23:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ER
🇺🇦Eduard Rubtsov
ELO 1397
FormLLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kovalenko
VK
🇺🇦Viacheslav Kovalenko
ELO 1480
FormLWWWW
41%
59%
🌟Kovalenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (21)
Fair odds · Kovalenko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H28-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-16)