8 Jul · 23:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chelpanov
ELO 1461
FormLLLLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Chelpanov
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Skachenko
ELO 1338
FormLWLLL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Chelpanov
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+123
H2H7-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-3)