9 Jul · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Karpenko
ELO 1603
FormWLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Karpenko
IE
🇺🇦Ihor Emets
ELO 1557
FormLLLWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Karpenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H29-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-6)