9 Jul · 09:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1415
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hovorunets
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Hovorunets
ELO 1458
FormLLLWW
45%
55%
🌟Hovorunets stays under total as favourite 68% (25)
Fair odds · Hovorunets
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H37-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-20)