9 Jul · 08:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BC
🇺🇦Bohdan Chaikovskyi
ELO 1607
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Chaikovskyi
OP
🇺🇦Oleksandr Pohonov
ELO 1593
FormWLWLL
52%
48%
🌟Chaikovskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (42)
Fair odds · Chaikovskyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H22-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.