9 Jul · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇺🇦Milan Vydra
ELO 1449
FormWLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Vydra
AA
🇺🇦Artur Akopyan
ELO 1374
FormWWLLL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Akopyan🌟Vydra rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (19)
Fair odds · Vydra
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H9-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-7)